Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.575422 0.653133 0.736041 0.830915 0.936315 1.049650 1.180569
2025-09-14 0.443449 0.548816 0.669671 0.817875 0.994001 1.195868 1.443956
2025-09-21 0.358117 0.480060 0.629489 0.824452 1.070295 1.368044 1.753751
2025-09-28 0.285861 0.413453 0.579844 0.809751 1.115720 1.505050 2.033394
2025-10-05 0.247804 0.383722 0.571053 0.843221 1.222672 1.726211 2.436761
2025-10-12 0.217106 0.358320 0.563176 0.874759 1.327742 1.951746 2.863093
2025-10-19 0.185945 0.326555 0.540868 0.881383 1.396326 2.130786 3.238005
2025-10-26 0.159722 0.297748 0.518260 0.883309 1.455953 2.299268 3.607889
2025-11-02 0.138038 0.272535 0.497279 0.884023 1.511792 2.464034 3.981377
2025-11-09 0.119757 0.249985 0.477198 0.882860 1.562867 2.623201 4.354782
2025-11-16 0.104852 0.230956 0.460253 0.884164 1.616527 2.788183 4.745445
2025-11-23 0.090800 0.211083 0.438974 0.875004 1.650813 2.923196 5.095598
2025-11-30 0.081340 0.199060 0.430935 0.889078 1.726805 3.132533 5.581006
2025-12-07 0.070375 0.181940 0.410928 0.878881 1.759200 3.271706 5.960702
2025-12-14 0.062902 0.171127 0.401844 0.888066 1.826567 3.473624 6.455935
2025-12-21 0.054290 0.156034 0.381902 0.873654 1.848781 3.598389 6.827085
2025-12-28 0.050966 0.153082 0.387206 0.910203 1.969438 3.902973 7.523935
2026-01-04 0.047742 0.149786 0.391273 0.944400 2.087809 4.209902 8.240412
2026-01-11 0.042991 0.141565 0.383125 0.951771 2.153666 4.424614 8.803733
2026-01-18 0.038481 0.133079 0.373171 0.954002 2.208955 4.622345 9.345817
2026-01-25 0.034428 0.125039 0.363152 0.954868 2.261101 4.816508 9.890344
2026-02-01 0.030746 0.117301 0.352777 0.953684 2.308492 5.003658 10.430348
2026-02-08 0.027611 0.110558 0.343976 0.955115 2.361209 5.203499 11.003104